CryptoQuant CEO: Bitcoin Cycle Pattern May Have Ended, Current Price Weakness Due to Lack of Demand

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/11/03 13:45:54
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BlockBeats News, November 3rd, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju shared a series of on-chain data about Bitcoin and expressed the following key analysis:

1. Whales' unrealized gains are not extremely high. This may indicate one of the following two situations: "The hype has not arrived yet - we are far from the euphoric sentiment." or "This time is different - the market is too big to sustain a high profit margin."

2. Bitcoin's hash rate continues to hit new highs (with about 5.96 million ASIC miners online). Listed mining companies are expanding rather than scaling down, which is a clear long-term bullish signal.

3. The current demand is mainly driven by ETFs and MicroStrategy, but the buying pressure from these two major channels has recently slowed down. If these two channels resume growth, market momentum may resurface.

4. In the past 6 months, short-term whales (mainly ETFs) are close to breakeven. Long-term whales have gained about 53%. Historically, the market has shown clear four-year cyclical fluctuations, with retail investors and whale investors accumulating and distributing. It is now more difficult to predict where and to what extent new liquidity will flow in, making it unlikely for Bitcoin to follow the same cyclical pattern again.

5. The average cost of a Bitcoin wallet is $55,900, implying an average profit of about 93% for holders. Realized market value continues to rise (increased by $8 billion this week), indicating that on-chain fund inflows remain strong. The price increase is not due to selling pressure but rather due to weak demand.

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DDC Enterprise Limited Announces 2025 Unaudited Preliminary Financial Performance: Record Revenue Achieved, Bitcoin Treasury Grows to 2183 Coins

On March 4, 2026, DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE American: DDC) today announced preliminary, unaudited full-year financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025. The company expects to achieve record revenue and record positive adjusted EBITDA, primarily driven by continued growth in its core consumer food business and overall margin improvement. The final audited financial report is expected to be released in mid-April 2026.


2025 Full-Year Financial Highlights


Revenue: Expected to be between $39 million and $41 million, reaching a new company high.


Organic Growth: Excluding the impact of the company's strategic contraction of its U.S. operations, core revenue is expected to grow 11% to 17% year over year.


Gross Profit Margin: Expected to be between 28% and 30%, reflecting continued operational efficiency improvements.


Adjusted EBITDA: The company expects to achieve a positive full-year result in 2025, a significant improvement from a $3.5 million loss in 2024, mainly due to rigorous cost controls and a higher-margin sales mix.


Core Consumer Food Business Performance


In 2025, DDC's core consumer food business maintained strong operational performance.


The company also disclosed Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA, a metric that further excludes costs related to its Bitcoin reserve strategy and non-cash fair value adjustments related to its Bitcoin holdings from adjusted EBITDA to more accurately reflect the core business performance.


In 2025, Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $5.5 million and $6 million.


Bitcoin Reserve Update


In the first half of 2025, DDC initiated a long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategy, holding Bitcoin as its primary reserve asset.


As of December 31, 2025: The company holds 1,183 BTC.


As of February 28, 2026: Holdings increased to 2,118 BTC


Today's additional purchase of 65 BTC brings the company's total holdings to 2,183 BTC


DDC Founder, Chairman, and CEO Norma Chu stated, "We are proud to have closed 2025 with record revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating the steady growth of the company's consumer food business and the ongoing improvement in profitability. We are building a disciplined, growth-oriented food platform and strategically allocating capital to Bitcoin assets with a long-term view, aligning with our core beliefs. We believe that this dual-track model of 'Steady Consumer Business + Strategic Bitcoin Reserve' will help DDC create lasting long-term value for shareholders."


Adjusted EBITDA Definition
For the full year 2025, the company defines "Adjusted EBITDA" (a non-GAAP financial measure) as: Net income / (loss) excluding the following items:· Interest expense· Taxes· Foreign exchange gains/losses· Long-lived asset impairment· Depreciation and amortization· Non-cash fair value changes related to financial instruments (including Bitcoin holdings)· Stock-based compensation


About DDC Enterprise Limited


DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE: DDC) is actively implementing its corporate Bitcoin Treasury strategy while continuing to strengthen its position as a leading global Asian food platform.


The company has established Bitcoin as a core reserve asset and is executing a prudent, long-oriented accumulation strategy. While expanding its portfolio of food brands, DDC is gradually becoming one of the public company pioneers in integrating Bitcoin into its corporate financial architecture.


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