- Buy Crypto
- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
Earn- More
CPI Showdown: December Inflation May See "Reflationary Rebound," Extreme Value Risk Alert
BlockBeats News, January 12th, the market generally expects that the December US CPI may experience a temporary rebound (data will be released this Tuesday at 21:30), mainly due to the statistical repair effect after the normalization of the Labor Statistics Bureau's survey, and does not necessarily mean a structural deterioration of inflation.
November non-farm payroll and CPI were announced close in time. The non-farm data shows that the US labor market continues to cool, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.6% (rounded to 4.573% before rounding), the highest level in nearly four years. However, affected by the aftermath of the government shutdown, the reliability of the data has been questioned, failing to significantly strengthen the market's expectation of an early rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Interest rate futures show that the market generally expects that the January meeting will keep interest rates unchanged, and the first rate cut may occur in March, April, or June, but none has formed a consensus pricing of over 50%, showing a high degree of uncertainty in the path. The mainstream expectations for this CPI are as follows:
Overall CPI YoY: a slight increase from 3.0% to 3.1%
Core CPI YoY: maintained at 3.0%
Three scenario scenarios:
1. Meeting expectations: limited impact on risk assets, market focuses on key technical reactions.
2. Significantly above expectations (especially core CPI): concerns about inflation stickiness intensify, which may temporarily suppress risk appetite.
3. Unexpected significant decline (low probability): may resonate with weakening employment, strengthen easing expectations, bullish for risk assets.
The December CPI may become a short-term market volatility amplifier, and it is necessary to focus on preventing the impact of "extreme readings" on interest rate expectations and asset pricing.
You may also like
After being questioned by Vitalik, L2s are collectively saying goodbye to the "cheap" era
WEEX AI Trading Hackathon Paris Workshop Reveals: How Retail Crypto Traders Can Outperform Hedge Funds
Witness how WEEX's Paris AI Trading Hackathon revealed AI's edge over human traders. Explore key strategies, live competition results & how to build your own AI trading bot.
U.S. Oil (USOR) Price Prediction 2026–2030
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil (USOR) is a speculative Solana-based crypto project that aims to index the United States…
USOR Surges on Meme Narrative Despite No Real-World Asset Backing
Key Takeaways: USOR, a Solana-based token, has seen a notable surge driven by speculative narratives rather than verifiable…
How to Buy U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) is a Solana-based token primarily traded on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Claims have…
USOR vs Oil ETFs: Understanding Why the ‘Oil Reserve’ Token Doesn’t Track Crude Prices
Key Takeaways The U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) token has become noteworthy for its claims, yet it does not…
Trend Research Reduces Ether Holdings After Major Market Turbulence
Key Takeaways: Trend Research has significantly cut down its Ether holdings, moving over 404,000 ETH to exchanges recently.…
Investors Channel $258M into Crypto Startups Despite $2 Trillion Market Sell-Off
Key Takeaways: Investors pumped approximately $258 million into crypto startups in early February, highlighting continued support for blockchain-related…
NBA Star Giannis Antetokounmpo Becomes Shareholder in Prediction Market Kalshi
Key Takeaways: Giannis Antetokounmpo, the NBA’s two-time MVP, invests in the prediction market platform Kalshi as a shareholder.…
Arizona Home Invasion Targets $66 Million in Cryptocurrency: Two Teens Charged
Key Takeaways Two teenagers from California face serious felony charges for allegedly attempting to steal $66 million in…
El Salvador’s Bukele Approval Reaches Record 91.9% Despite Limited Bitcoin Use
Key Takeaways: El Salvador President Nayib Bukele enjoys a record high approval rating of 91.9% from his populace,…
Crypto Price Prediction for February 6: XRP, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu’s Market Movements
Key Takeaways: The crypto market experienced a notable shift with Bitcoin’s significant surge, impacting altcoins like XRP, Dogecoin,…
China Restricts Unapproved Yuan-Pegged Stablecoins to Maintain Currency Stability
Key Takeaways: China’s central bank and seven government agencies have banned the issuance of yuan-pegged stablecoins abroad without…
Solana Price Prediction: $80 SOL Looks Scary – But Smart Money Just Signaled This Might Be the Bottom
Key Takeaways Despite Solana’s descent to $80, some traders find security as smart money enters the fray, suggesting…
XRP Price Prediction: Major Ledger Upgrade Quietly Activated – Why This Could Be the Most Bullish Signal Yet
Key Takeaways: The activation of the Permissioned Domains amendment on XRPL represents a significant development in XRP’s potential…
Dogecoin Price Prediction: Death Cross Confirmed as DOGE Falls Below $0.10 – Is DOGE Reaching Zero?
Key Takeaways The death cross event signals potential bearish trends for Dogecoin as its price dips under $0.10,…
Stablecoin Inflows Have Doubled to $98B Amid Selling Pressure
Key Takeaways Stablecoin inflows to crypto exchanges have surged to $98 billion, doubling previous levels amidst heightened market…
Coinbase UK Executive Declares Tokenised Collateral a Mainstream Financial Force
Key Takeaways Tokenised collateral is transitioning from its initial experimental stages into becoming core infrastructure within financial markets.…
After being questioned by Vitalik, L2s are collectively saying goodbye to the "cheap" era
WEEX AI Trading Hackathon Paris Workshop Reveals: How Retail Crypto Traders Can Outperform Hedge Funds
Witness how WEEX's Paris AI Trading Hackathon revealed AI's edge over human traders. Explore key strategies, live competition results & how to build your own AI trading bot.
U.S. Oil (USOR) Price Prediction 2026–2030
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil (USOR) is a speculative Solana-based crypto project that aims to index the United States…
USOR Surges on Meme Narrative Despite No Real-World Asset Backing
Key Takeaways: USOR, a Solana-based token, has seen a notable surge driven by speculative narratives rather than verifiable…
How to Buy U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) Cryptocurrency
Key Takeaways U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) is a Solana-based token primarily traded on decentralized exchanges (DEXs). Claims have…
USOR vs Oil ETFs: Understanding Why the ‘Oil Reserve’ Token Doesn’t Track Crude Prices
Key Takeaways The U.S. Oil Reserve (USOR) token has become noteworthy for its claims, yet it does not…
App