- Buy Crypto
- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
- Earn
- More
Analysis: BTC Rebound Fails to Break Through "Phase Bull/Bear" Divide, Some Investors Shift Toward End of Trend View
BlockBeats News, October 22nd, on-chain analyst Murphy stated that BTC's Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH-RP) is considered the dividing line of a "phased bull market" or a bull/bear sentiment indicator. When the price touches STH-RP and quickly rebounds, it indicates that new investors not only did not consider selling near their cost basis but also attracted more buying interest, demonstrating market confidence in future trends.
Emotional shifts within a trend are typically divided into the following 3 stages:
Stage 1: BTC slightly falls below STH-RP and then experiences a sharp rebound. During this stage, investors have confidence in the trend, believing that short-term pullbacks are opportunities.
Stage 2: BTC significantly drops below STH-RP and then sees a modest rebound. At this point, investor confidence weakens, but some still believe the trend is not over.
Stage 3: BTC's rebound fails to surpass STH-RP. During this stage, investors uniformly doubt the trend. Once the rebound returns to the cost line, they tend to exit to seek safety.
From September 26th to 28th, BTC retraced to around $109,000 (slightly below STH-RP) and then strongly rebounded to $125,000 (a significant rebound), corresponding to Stage 1. On October 17th, the STH-RP price was $113,000. At this time, BTC retraced to around $104,000, which qualifies as a significant drop. Yesterday evening, the surge touched the STH-RP and then retreated. Analysts believe the market is currently in Stage 2 or transitioning from Stage 2 to Stage 3.
You may also like
From Stanford Lab to Silicon Valley Streets: How OpenMind is Solving the "Last Mile" Problem of the Machine Economy?
PlanX: Reconstructing On-Chain Execution with AI, Moving Towards a New Paradigm
US Judge Allows Binance Unregistered Token Lawsuit to Advance
Key Takeaways: A federal judge in Manhattan dismissed Binance’s petition to resolve a securities lawsuit through private arbitration,…
Crypto VC Paradigm Plans $1.5 Billion Expansion into AI and Robotics
Key Takeaways: Paradigm is setting up a new $1.5 billion fund to explore AI, robotics, and other emerging…
Ethereum Smart Accounts Set to Launch Within a Year, According to Vitalik Buterin
Key Takeaways: Ethereum’s “account abstraction” or smart accounts might be introduced in the coming year through the Hegota…
Bitcoin Recovers After Iran Conflict Shocks Market, Reverses $5K Fall in Just 24 Hours
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin dropped to approximately $63,000 amid tensions but rebounded to $68,200 within a day. Volatility led…
Former Mt. Gox CEO Suggests Hardfork to Retrieve $5.2 Billion in Bitcoin
Key Takeaways: Mark Karpelès, former CEO of Mt. Gox, proposes a Bitcoin network hard fork to access nearly…
South Korea National Tax Service’s Mistake Resulted in $4.8 Million Crypto Loss
Key Takeaways South Korea’s National Tax Service inadvertently exposed private keys, resulting in a $4.8 million crypto loss.…
Morgan Stanley Seeks National Trust Charter for Cryptocurrency Custody
Key Takeaways: Morgan Stanley has initiated a significant step toward digital asset management by applying for a national…
Solana Price Outlook: Major ETF Inflows Hint at Institutional Moves
Key Takeaways: Solana has experienced substantial ETF inflows, prompting speculation about institutional buy-in. On February 25, Solana recorded…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Wikipedia Founder Warns BTC Could Plunge Below $10K — Should Investors Worry?
Key Takeaways Wikipedia co-founder Jimmy Wales warns Bitcoin might decline to below $10,000, prompting a bearish outlook. Wales…
China’s DeepSeek AI Foresees a Bright Future for XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum
Key Takeaways: DeepSeek AI predicts that XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum may reach new all-time highs within the next…
Can BTC, ETH, and SOL Liquidity Collaborate Effectively? Exploring LiquidChain’s Staking and Settlement Approach
Key Takeaways LiquidChain introduces a novel Layer 3 framework aimed at integrating liquidity across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.…
Canton Crypto Network vs. XRP: Exploring DTCC’s Infrastructure and Liquidity Dynamics
Key Takeaways Canton Network is crafted for institutional finance, emphasizing privacy and regulatory alignment, critical for the onchain…
Axiom Crypto Exposed: Alleged $400k Insider Trading Scandal Revealed
Key Takeaways A whistleblower has brought to light an alleged insider trading scheme at Axiom Crypto, revealing governance…
Ethereum $159B Stablecoin Dominance: Why Infrastructure Triumphs Over Price
Ethereum’s role as a settlement layer has seen it capture over 53%, or $159 billion, of the $300…
Crypto Price Forecast Today: February 26 – XRP, Solana, Dogecoin
Key Takeaways Potential impact of U.S. regulatory clarity: Up-and-coming regulations like the CLARITY Act in the U.S. are…
XRP Price Outlook: Recent Bug Expose and Protection – What’s Next for XRP Holders?
Key Takeaways A significant flaw in the XRP Ledger was found but addressed before it posed any real…
From Stanford Lab to Silicon Valley Streets: How OpenMind is Solving the "Last Mile" Problem of the Machine Economy?
PlanX: Reconstructing On-Chain Execution with AI, Moving Towards a New Paradigm
US Judge Allows Binance Unregistered Token Lawsuit to Advance
Key Takeaways: A federal judge in Manhattan dismissed Binance’s petition to resolve a securities lawsuit through private arbitration,…
Crypto VC Paradigm Plans $1.5 Billion Expansion into AI and Robotics
Key Takeaways: Paradigm is setting up a new $1.5 billion fund to explore AI, robotics, and other emerging…
Ethereum Smart Accounts Set to Launch Within a Year, According to Vitalik Buterin
Key Takeaways: Ethereum’s “account abstraction” or smart accounts might be introduced in the coming year through the Hegota…
Bitcoin Recovers After Iran Conflict Shocks Market, Reverses $5K Fall in Just 24 Hours
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin dropped to approximately $63,000 amid tensions but rebounded to $68,200 within a day. Volatility led…
App